Disney World is a wonderful place, but it can also be wildly expensive.
If you’ve been following along with changes in Disney World over the past few years, you know that price increases are the norm. Whether it’s ticket prices, hotel rates, or merchandise; things tend to get more expensive over time and with changes in demand levels. So, we’re wondering: How expensive will Disney World be in 10 years?
Let’s start by taking a look at ticket prices. According to PopSugar, base ticket prices to the Disney World theme parks have increased by an average of $3.71 each year over the last 10 years. Annual Passes have increased on average by $75 each year for the past ten years.
If these trends continue, base tickets could cost $146 in 2031 compared to today’s $109 base. The increase will likely scale across date-based tickets and ticket types. Similarly, Annual Passes could cost $1,945 compared to today’s $1,195. (whoa.)
Keep in mind that ticket prices, as well as the other prices we’ll talk about in this post, are influenced by inflation and demand. So, dramatic changes in the economy or any massive spikes or dips in demand could affect this pattern — leaving ticket prices higher or lower than this projection.
Hotels could be more expensive too! To look into this, we can compare today’s prices to the 2011 pricing published by Disney. We’ll take a look at what each resort hotel level (value, moderate, and deluxe) could cost in 2031.
In 2011, value resort, cabin, and campsite pricing ranged from $46 to $450 each night (averaging $248 across room types). Now, prices range from $89 to $826 (averaging $458 across room types). That’s an 85% increase in cost. If that trend continues, 2031 value rooms could range from $165 to $1,528.
For moderate resort pricing (not counting suites or club level), 2011 prices ranged from $154 to $309 (averaging $232 across room types). In 2021, those prices range from $240 to $564 (averaging $402 across room types). That’s a 73% increase in price over the last decade. Apply the same increase, and these rooms could range from $415 to $976.
Finally, the deluxe resorts would see the least increase if the last ten years are any indication. In 2011, deluxe rooms (not counting suites or club level) ranged from $250 to $1,145 per night (averaging $448 across room categories). Now, prices range from $424 to $1,502 (averaging $539 across categories). That’s a 20% increase, so if that trend continues, 2031 deluxe rooms would range from $509 to $1,802.
It’s difficult to compare dining price increases over the last ten years since Disney World has over 400 restaurants with regularly changing pricing and menus. So, the easiest way to look at how food pricing has changed is to look at the Disney Dining Plan. Just keep in mind, dining spending outside of the Dining Plan can vary WIDELY based on your party.
In 2011, we reported that the standard cost of the Disney Dining Plan was a base of $45.99 per adult per night and $11.99 per kid per night. In 2020 (the last time the Dining Plan was available), the standard Disney Dining Plan ran a base of $78.01 per adult per night and $30.52 per kid per night.
If the same level of growth continues, we’d see a 70% increase for adults and a 154% increase for kids over the next ten years. So, in 2031, the lowest level of the Disney Dining Plan could cost $132.62 per adult per night and $77.50 per kid per night. As we mentioned, this trend could reflect a potential increase in general dining prices too.
Let’s take a look at a few more important prices that might impact your trip now and in the future! Water park tickets, for instance, have increased 41% over the last ten years. If they do the same in the next ten years, a day at the water parks could be $97 compared to today’s $69.
Theme park parking prices have changed too! Parking used to cost $14 and now costs $25 (a 127% increase). If the trend continues, daily parking could be $57 in 2031. Holy smokes! We don’t have data on resort hotel parking since it is fairly new but it may increase with the same pattern.
So, how expensive will Disney World be in 10 years?
So, let’s look at how expensive a Disney World trip could be in 2031! To do this, we’re going to be using the model of a family of four with four theme park days and four moderate hotel room nights, on the Disney Dining Plan.
Today, this trip might cost around $1,744 for tickets $960 for the hotel, and $868 for food or the Disney Dining Plan. All together that’s $3,752 not counting taxes or other expenses if you booked this trip now.
In ten years, the same trip might cost around $2,336 for tickets, $1,660 for the hotel, and $1,681 for food or the Disney Dining Plan. So, the vacation would total a price of $5,677 not counting tax or other expenses. Whew! That seems like a big change! (About 2k MORE!)
Of course, those increases come from changes in demand and the economy (plus the standard rate of inflation). Any major changes to the financial environment or Disney World itself could affect the price increase pattern. Hopefully, this insight has proved interesting and useful when it comes to what to expect for the future of Disney World! As always, stay tuned to DFB for the latest analysis and more!
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What do you think of these prices? Tell us in the comments!